Showing posts with label SOLF. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SOLF. Show all posts

Trades 1/25/10

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The market is flat to choppy today.  So far the Dow is up 52 points yet most stocks that I usually watch are down quite a bit.  This inverted action has been the norm as of late.

Nothing new today.  We are waiting to see if UAUA drops into February in order to grab some profit on the put options.  Also, I am adding a trailing stop to SVA in case there is downside follow-though.

SVA - sell stop - 6.69 - trail by .50 - Good Till Closed.







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Trades 1/22/10

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Well yesterdsay the dow dumped another 213 points. I sold SOLF on a trailing stop at 7.95 and I picked up a healthy chunk of QTWW at 0.96 - Now nearly 50% of my portfolio.

Today's actions is anyone's guess. I would say caution will provail and the downside will extend. But, I have been surprised so many times (as I was Tuesday) when all indicators point to a lower open and we jump to new highs. Nothing has been rational for the last 3 months or so.

Current Holdings

Symbol
Security
Entry
Last
Change
Exit Plan
QTWW
Stock
1.08
0.9855
-0.0945
N/A
SSN
Stock
0.276
0.27
-0.006
N/A
SVA
Stock
7.43
7.24
-0.19
N/A
UALNO
Option
0.10
0.05
-0.05
N/A


I will update ideas after 10:00 a.m.


--Udate 2:00pm--

The market has been flat to negative - more negative...





SVA has survived so far and has even climbed to.7.28 during this tailspin in the last 2hours.   I am thinking about putting a trailing stop on SVA in case things go haywire in either direction.

 Consider:  SVA - Sell stop - 6.99 - trail by .25

QTWW is droping big time, though all the news of late has been very positive.  I have seen it drop upon good news and run up 60-80 cents on bad news.   QTWW is like that.  No sell stops on QTWW, it's too easy to get burned that way.  The price changes radically with very small trades, especially in the last 5 minutes of trading*.  I am planning to buy another chunk.  target .89 or lower.

  QTWW is trading at .92 now at 2:30.
  -I have a buy stop set at .94 right now: ( will adjust that staying at .02 above current )
  -Near the end of the day I will set a limit buy at .05 below current price.

UAUA is surprisingly resilient to the 500-point dive the Dow has taken over the last few days.
On a sharp decline it has hit 12.68.  Today's decline is slow and, with the price of oil dropping, it has climbed to 13.78 at one point.  I own put options, strike 8, February on this one, so if oil does rise along with the falling market - ching ching!



* Minute by minute live trades
- QTWW last minutes of trading.


     caputred 10/21/09                       captured today             

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Note that trades of similar size effect the price of the stock quite differently.



On the left, someone sold 2260 shares causing the price to drop 0.06

On the right, someone sold 3000 shares (at 2:00pm) causing a drop of 0.0031


Left - a purchase of 1900 shares - no effect at all.

Right- a purchase of 800 shares - the price upped 0.0011




QTWW will run up.  Here is a clue:  Whey you see a large spike in volume 900k to 2m at once, then the run will start.   Note that trades of similar size effect the price of the stock quite differently. 




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Update...

Updating the day, markets opened higher due to several large deals. All indicators pointed to a lower open as I said in my last post, but the market reacted with heavy buying on CBY and CFL.

Investors.com - Major Indexes Open Higher: "Industrial conglomerate Tyco International (TYC) on Monday announced plans to spend $1.9 billion to buy Broadview Security, which operates for Brink's Home Security Holdings (CFL)"

My guess is that the markets will return to their downward trend after the buying frenzy is over related to the above mentioned buy-outs.

The strategy I laid out for C did not play out because the markets did not open lower.

We have not hit our buy stops on RDN or SOLF as of yet. SOLF is to release 2009 yearly financial data on March 5, and if seculation on that news is positive, the reaction will trigger our buy stop.

Trades 1/19/10

Watching the action before the bell, I suspect a negative start, if not a negative day today.  World markets overnight were all inthe red (except HK which dipped heavily last week).  Oil is down at 76 and change.

That could turn around if Kraft (KFT) finalizes their bid for Cadbury (CBY).  Watch CBY jump if that is the case.

Other big news on Citibank (C) which is reporting a huge loss due to plans of paying off Uncle Sam.
I had thought of shorting C until I looked at the Call volume which is unusually high.  Consider setting a buy stop on C at 3.45 in case the day forgets to continue its downside action of late.
If C drops, I will be setting a buy stop at 0.08 above current price.  I will be adjusting that stop as the stock drops, hoping to catch the bottom as investors over react to the news.

Solarfun Power Holdings (SOLF) and Radian Group Inc. (RDN) both had very good runs until the market started downward. These two could recover quite nicely, if the market trend should turn around. Consider the following buy stops.

RDN -  open 7.78 - buy stop 8.06 - sell stop 7.76
SOLF - open 8.30 - buy stop 8.65 - sell stop 8.29